Thursday, March 19, 2015

Explainer: what are fundamental particles?

The epoch of the leptons existed for nine seconds after the Big Bang. Big Bang by Shutterstock

It is often claimed that the Ancient Greeks were the first to identify objects that have no size, yet are able to build up the world around us through their interactions. And as we are able to observe the world in tinier and tinier detail through microscopes of increasing power, it is natural to wonder what these objects are made of.


We believe we have found some of these objects: subatomic particles, or fundamental particles, which having no size can have no substructure. We are now seeking to explain the properties of these particles and working to show how these can be used to explain the contents of the universe.


There are two types of fundamental particles: matter particles, some of which combine to produce the world about us, and force particles – one of which, the photon, is responsible for electromagnetic radiation. These are classified in the standard model of particle physics, which theorises how the basic building blocks of matter interact, governed by fundamental forces. Matter particles are fermions while force particles are bosons.


Matter particles: quarks and leptons


Matter particles are split into two groups: quarks and leptons – there are six of these, each with a corresponding partner.


Leptons are divided into three pairs. Each pair has an elementary particle with a charge and one with no charge – one that is much lighter and extremely difficult to detect. The lightest of these pairs is the electron and electron-neutrino.


And then some. James Childs, CC BY


The charged electron is responsible for electric currents. Its uncharged partner, known as the electron-neutrino, is produced copiously in the sun and these interact so weakly with their surroundings that they pass unhindered through the Earth. A million of them pass through every square centimetre of your body every second, day and night.


Electron-neutrinos are produced in unimaginable numbers during supernova explosions and it is these particles that disperse elements produced by nuclear burning into the universe. These elements include the carbon from which we are made, the oxygen we breathe, and almost everything else on earth. Therefore, in spite of the reluctance of neutrinos to interact with other fundamental particles, they are vital for our existence. The other two neutrino pairs (called muon and muon neutrino, tau and tau neutrino) appear to be just heavier versions of the electron.


J J Thomson’s 1897 cathode ray tube with magnet coils – used to discover the electron. Science Museum London, CC BY-SA


Since normal matter does not contain these particles it may seem that they are an unnecessary complication. However during the first one to ten seconds of the universe following the Big Bang, they had a crucial role to play in establishing the structure of the universe in which we live – known as the Lepton Epoch.


The six quarks are also split into three pairs with whimsical names: “up” with “down”, “charm” with “strange”, and “top” with “bottom” (previously called “truth” and “beauty” though regrettably changed). The up and down quarks stick together to form the protons and neutrons which lie at the heart of every atom. Again only the lightest pair of quarks are found in normal matter, the charm/strange and top/bottom pairs seem to play no role in the universe as it now exists, but, like the heavier leptons, played a role in the early moments of the universe and helped to create one that is amenable to our existence.


Force particles


There are six force particles in the standard model, which create the interactions between matter particles. They are divided into four fundamental forces: gravitational, electromagnetic, strong and weak forces.


A photon is a particle of light and is responsible for electric and magnetic fields, created by the exchange of photons from one charged object to another.


The gluon produces the force responsible for holding quarks together to form protons and neutrons, and for holding those protons and neutrons together to form heavier nuclei.


Three particles named the “W plus”, the “W minus” and the “Z zero” – referred to as intermediate vector bosons – are responsible for the process of radioactive decay and for the processes in the sun which cause it to shine. A sixth force particle, the graviton, is believed to be responsible for gravitation, but has not yet been observed.


Anti-matter: the science fiction reality


We also know of the existence of anti-matter. This is a concept much beloved by science fiction writers, but it really does exist. Anti-matter particles have been frequently observed. For example, the positron (the anti-particle of the electron) is used in medicine to map our internal organs using positron emission tomography (PET). Famously when a particle meets its anti-particle they both annihilate each other and a burst of energy is produced. A PET scanner is used to detect this.


Each of the matter particles above has a partner particle which has the same mass, but opposite electric charge, so we can double the number of matter particles (six quarks and six leptons) to arrive at a final number of 24.


We give matter quarks a number of +1 and anti-matter quarks a value of -1. If we add up the number of matter quarks plus the number of anti-matter quarks then we get the net number of quarks in the universe, this never varies. If we have enough energy we can create any of the matter quarks as long as we create an anti-matter quark at the same time. In the early moments of the universe these particles were being created continuously – now they are only created in the collisions of cosmic rays with the atmosphere of planets and stars.


The famous Higgs boson


There is a final particle which completes the roll call of particles in what is referred as the standard model of particle physics so far described. It is the Higgs, predicted by Peter Higgs 50 years ago, and whose discovery at CERN in 2012 led to a Nobel Prize for Higgs and Francois Englert.


The Higgs boson is an odd particle: it is the second heaviest of the standard model particles and it resists a simple explanation. It is often said to be the origin of mass, which is true, but misleading. It gives mass to the quarks, and quarks make up the protons and neutrons, but only 2% of the mass of protons and neutrons is provided by the quarks, and the rest is from the energy in the gluons.


At this point we have accounted for all the particles required by the standard model: six force particles, 24 matter particles and one Higgs particle – a total of 31 fundamental particles. Despite what we know about them, their properties have not been measured well enough to allow us to say definitively that these particles are all that is needed to build the universe we see around us, and we certainly don’t have all the answers. The next run of the Large Hadron Collider will allow us to refine our measurements of some of these properties – but there is something else.


The great collider. Image Editor, CC BY


Yet the theory is still wrong


The beautiful theory, the standard model, has been tested and re-tested over two decades and more; and we have not yet made a measurement that is in contradiction with our predictions. But we know that the standard model must be wrong. When we collide two fundamental particles together a number of outcomes are possible. Our theory allows us to calculate the probability that any particular outcome can occur, but at energies beyond which we have so far achieved it predicts that some of these outcomes occur with a probability of greater than 100% – clearly nonsense.


Theoretical physicists have spent much effort in trying to construct a theory which gives sensible answers at all energies, while giving the same answer as the standard model in every circumstance in which the standard model has been tested.


The most common modification implies that there are very heavy undiscovered particles. The fact they are heavy means lots of energy will be needed to produce them. The properties of these extra particles can be chosen to make sure that the resulting theory gives sensible answers at all energies, but they have no effect on the measurements that agree so well with the standard model.


The number of these undiscovered and as-yet-unseen particles depends on which theory you choose to believe. The most popular class of these theories are called supersymmetric theories and they imply that all the particles which we have seen have a much heavier counterpart. However, if they are too heavy, problems will arise at energies we can produce before these particles are found. But the energies that will be reached in the next run of the LHC are high enough that an absence of new particles will be a blow to all supersymmetric theories.


The Conversation

Solar eclipse: a rare opportunity to bask in the moon's shadow

As visible from Europe (weather permitting). Luc Viatour, CC BY

A total solar eclipse is an extraordinary visual and emotional experience, from the moon’s first bite out of the sun’s unblemished disc, to the moment that the daylight sky becomes dark and the sun’s blazing light is muted. The temperature drops, the moon’s shadow can be seen speeding across the Earth’s surface, and there is a sudden silence as animals settle down to sleep under the impression that night has fallen.


Yet the fact that we see a solar eclipse at all is something of a miracle. Ours is the only planet in the solar system whose moon appears from the surface to have the same angular size in the sky as that of the sun: it is 400 times smaller, but also 400 times closer. This cosmological coincidence allows the moon to completely block out the sun to reveal the ethereal beauty of its tenuous outer atmosphere, the corona, to those fortunate enough to be standing in the shadow of the moon.


John Couch Adams, who discovered Neptune, wrote in 1851:



The appearance of the corona, shining with a cold unearthly light, made an impression on my mind which can never be effaced, and an involuntary feeling of loneliness and disquietude came upon me.



I consider myself extremely fortunate to have witnessed four total solar eclipses so far. This, my fifth, will be the first solar eclipse visible in Europe since 1999, and the last until 2026. A total solar eclipse happens somewhere on the planet on average every 18 months, but for the moon’s shadow to pass over inhibited land is far less common.


Central eclipses. Fred Espenak/NASA, CC BY


A rare solar eclipse in Europe


The solar eclipse will begin in the mid-Atlantic at sunrise, travelling north-east between Iceland and the UK and Ireland, before ending at the North Pole. The only islands from which totality – the moment when the moon entirely eclipses the sun leaving only a fiery halo – will be visible is remote Svalbard in the Arctic and the Danish-owned Faroe Islands, where I intend to be.


In the UK and Ireland, depending on your location, the maximum coverage will be a partial eclipse of between 85-97% of the sun’s disk, with the degree increasing towards the north. However, even almost entirely occluded in this way, the sun is still bright enough to cause severe eye damage and so precautions must be taken. A partial eclipse is best viewed through special eclipse glasses (not sunglasses), or by projecting the sun’s image onto a piece of white card using a pinhole projector – do not look directly at the sun.


The Faroe Islands, North Atlantic - one of the few places to witness the total eclipse. Erik Christensen, CC BY-SA


Scientific riches


Aside from being the most awe-inspiring sight in nature, solar eclipses also have immense scientific value. The element helium was discovered as a result of solar eclipse observations, decades before it was detected on Earth. Einstein’s theory of general relativity was proven correct thanks to a solar eclipse, when a star’s apparent position in the sky was “shifted” due to the gravitational influence of the sun. And the technique of spectroscopy led to the discovery that the sun’s corona holds a temperature of over 1,000,000°C – a thousand times hotter than its surface. This has become known as the coronal heating problem, something scientists are still grappling with today. Even now in the 21st century, with advanced scientific instruments both on the ground and in orbit, we cannot reproduce the conditions that nature provides during totality.


A colossal coronal ejection in 2012 gives some indication of the forces involved. NASA, CC BY


The technology we have come to depend upon is at the mercy of catastrophic explosions that originate in the sun’s atmosphere. Solar flares and coronal mass ejections are a consequence of the sun’s contorted coronal magnetic field which, when stretched beyond breaking point, spews plumes of radiation and charged particles in the direction of Earth, putting our electronic infrastructure at risk. Studying the inner corona during a solar eclipse allows us to quantify the state of the sun’s magnetic field, which will help us understand how solar storms get accelerated and the origins of the solar wind, among other things.


It’s a bit late to start planning a North Atlantic trip now, but bear in mind that in August 2017 the moon’s shadow will traverse the entire continental US, from Oregon to the Carolinas, making it one of the most accessible total eclipses of a generation. If you possess any sense of wonder and adventure, then you owe it to yourself to find a way of experiencing this fascinating phenomenon first hand. Then you can join in the chorus heard after the moon’s shadow has passed: “When is the next one?”


The Conversation

The dusky dottyback, a master of disguise in the animal world

Same fish, different colour. N Justin Marshall, Author provided

The cautionary tale of the wolf in sheep’s clothing warns that a familiar exterior can hide malicious intent. Like humans, other animals also deceive one another in this way, and our new study in Current Biology reveals that the dusky dottyback fish, Pseudochromis fuscus, is a true master of disguise.


A dottyback (rear) eying up a damselfish (front) Christopher E Mirbach


The dottyback is a small coral reef fish that lives on reefs from Madagascar to Australia. On the reefs off Lizard Island on the Great Barrier Reef, adults are either yellow or brown. Yellow dottybacks are often found on live coral among yellow damselfish, while brown dottybacks are often found on coral rubble amongst brown damselfish. Both brown and yellow dottybacks primarily prey upon damselfish juveniles.


Previous work had found that yellow and brown dottybacks are different morphs of the same species, but why the different morphs had evolved wasn’t known. It might be for camouflage from predators against the differently coloured habitats. Or, like a wolf in sheep’s clothing, perhaps the colour of the different morphs is to match the similarly coloured adult damselfishes, allowing them to sneak up on their young. There were reports of yellow dottybacks turning brown when placed on coral rubble, suggesting that something interesting was going on.


Video abstract for Current Biology (video by Alex Vail)


Hunter or hunted?


To disentangle the possibilities of why the dottyback morphs were coloured differently, we created artificial reefs made of either coral rubble (brown) or live coral (yellow), stocked them with either yellow or brown damselfish and introduced either a yellow or brown dottyback.


After two weeks we found that the yellow dottybacks on reefs with brown damselfish turned brown, and vice-versa. This colour change happened regardless of the dottybacks' habitat, so it was the colour of the damselfish driving the change.


A brown dottyback in its natural habitat Christopher E Mirbach


In most fish, colour change derives from an increase or decrease in abundance of one pigment type. By analysing skin samples in dottybacks we found they changed colour by altering the relative abundance of two different pigment types – something not previously reported in other fish species.


So it seemed as though dottybacks were changing colour to resemble adult damselfish in order to more easily prey upon their young. To test this, we carried out some aquarium experiments.


Black/brown (melanophores) and yellow (xanthophores) pigment cells in dottyback skin Fabio Cortesi


To catch a wolf


First, we stocked tanks with yellow or brown adult damselfishes, juvenile damselfishes, and a yellow or brown dottyback and left them for 24 hours. Checking how many juveniles had been eaten by the dottyback, we found that adult dottybacks the same colour as adult damselfish were much more successful at catching young damselfish snacks compared to those dottybacks with mismatched colouration.


Next, we placed a dottyback in a tank with one brown and one yellow juvenile damselfish. Again, dottybacks would more often catch juveniles that were the same colour as themselves. This suggests that juvenile damselfish lower their defences when dottybacks resemble their adults of their own species.


A yellow dottyback in its natural habitat Christopher E Mirbach


At this point we could see the dottybacks colour change was to mimic the colour of damselfish adults and lure in their young to be eaten. Could there be other benefits, however, such as protection from predators?


To test this idea, we put pictures of yellow or brown dottybacks in front of live coral or coral rubble backgrounds. We calibrated these pictures for the visual system of the coral trout, Plectropomus leopardus, which preys upon adult dottybacks and damselfishes. Using these and control images, we tested whether the dottyback’s colouration helped them avoid ending up as another fish’s lunch, as well as helping them find their own. Sure enough, dottyback colour morphs in their usual habitat (for example, yellow dottyback on yellow coral) were less vulnerable to the trout’s attacks than if their colour was mismatched to the colour of their habitat.


This sort of mimicry has been suggested in other species, such as the mimic octopus (Thaumoctopus mimicus) but this is the first time it’s been quantitatively proven. At least for the time being, this study shows that the dottyback is the reigning master of disguise in the animal kingdom.


The Conversation

Internet Explorer: reports of its death are greatly exaggerated

The end of IE? Wake up and smell the coffee. yukop, CC BY-SA

There are claims that Microsoft is to retire its web browser Internet Explorer and replace it with an all-new browser called Spartan with the upcoming release of Windows 10.


As of February 2015, Internet Explorer (IE) browser market share slipped to second place with around 17%, while Google’s Chrome browser boasts over 42%. One clear challenge for Microsoft is that it has always been committed to producing its own browser for its own Windows operating system (supporting IE on Apple Macs for a brief period). Apple on the other hand is happy to produce versions of its Safari browser for both Mac OS X and Windows, and Google produces versions of Chrome for every popular desktop and mobile operating system.


Perhaps Microsoft feels it’s time to take some action – in which case what is it trying to accomplish?


A quick history


Internet Explorer (IE) was introduced as an add on for Windows 95 and was a key part of the internet boom of the 1990s. Bundled free in all subsequent versions of Windows, IE soon gained dominance, winning the browser war against its older competitor, Netscape.


With a browser share that grew to be as substantial as Microsoft Windows' dominance of the operating system market, Microsoft was subject to numerous anti-trust litigation cases in the US and Europe. Nevertheless some of the HTML elements introduced in IE, and the fact it was more forgiving of badly coded websites than Netscape, meant that IE had a lasting influence on web design and the way websites were designed. Especially for internal corporate websites, which often used Windows based systems.


I don’t always use IE, but when I do…


In the 2000s, disquiet over Microsoft’s anti-competitive behaviour and IE’s lack of proper standards support led to a flourishing of competitors, boosted by the open sourcing of Netscape, which would become the basis for the popular Firefox browser. In reaction to Microsoft’s approach of pushing its own technologies and ignoring open standards, the appeal of more rigorous web standards compliance demonstrated by other browsers including Opera, Safari and Chrome have since carved away at IE’s dominance. Additionally, IE became one of the worst offenders for security vulnerabilities. Since then, it’s become the browser everyone loves to hate.


Time for a realitIE check


Trident, Internet Explorer’s layout engine which turns HTML and code into readable web pages, is showing its age. Benchmarking sites show that it is the performance laggard of the competing products. It took until 2008 and Internet Explorer 8 before the browser passed the web standards compliance test, Acid2.


With 20 years of history, Microsoft’s hands are to some extent tied by the many organisations that have created web-based programs that rely on IE, or on particular implementations of features in certain versions of IE. Even versions changes can introduce problems; switching to a new browser and layout engine altogether is something else.


Whenever new applications, operating systems or technologies in general are introduced, there is always the demand for backwards compatibility due to the considerable investment in developing services to run on corporate systems, or on products built for others, dependent on IE-specific features. By failing to properly support and adhere to open standards throughout its long history, Microsoft has made a rod for its own back.


As stated in a Microsoft developer blog, the new Spartan browser will be based on the relatively standards-compliant Internet Explorer 11 engine, but purged of all the code required to support this 20-year legacy. The result is, one hopes, a modern layout engine that adheres to modern standards.


Spartan will, when required, load in the older Internet Explorer engine for backwards compatibility. So the question one might ask is, with so many older IE-compatible sites out there, how often will Spartan be using its new engine, and how often will it relapse to Internet Explorer’s Trident to perform its duty for legacy systems? This means two sets of code to maintain and keep secure. And with Trident living on inside Spartan, to what extent can IE truly be considered “dead”?


Microsoft have a long way to go to improve their web browser performance, but this is certainly a step in the right direction – even if, with a 20-year-legacy millstone around their neck, they may find themselves held back from further progress for some time to come.


The Conversation

Who do you think you are? Most detailed genetic map of the British Isles reveals all

Yorkshire: not in the top five distinct areas. Robert Lowe, CC BY

The history of Britain’s population is a familiar story to many. It tells of an ancient people (retrospectively dubbed the Celts) and subsequent invasion and settlement by the Romans, Anglo-Saxons, Normans and Vikings. And many people today still identify strongly with one or another of these groups.


However, historical records have their weaknesses. For example, it’s very difficult to know to what extent an invasion amounted to mass settlement replacing an existing population, and how much it was a small elite converting that existing population to a new way of life.


For some years, geneticists have been able to answer similar questions on a continental scale. Now, enough data has been collected to start to tackle some of these issues on a national level. The People of the British Isles (PoBI) project examined differences at more than 500,000 positions in the DNA of more than 2,000 people from the UK, thus creating the most detailed genetic map of any country in the world.


In a paper published in Nature, the authors describe how they looked for regional differences in genetic patterns and inferred ancestry from various past migrations.


European movements, as understood by historians. Many of these distinctions are now supported by genetic data. Nature


Splitting the population


First, they split the samples into the two most-different groups possible, without considering where each sample came from. This process was repeated, splitting off the next most distinct group and then the next, producing an increasingly subtle picture of diversity.


By then plotting these groups onto the map, it became clear that many of them were clustered in particular regions, suggesting a clear geographical pattern to genetic diversity in Britain. So, for example, the first split separated Orkney from the rest of the British Isles. This means that Orkney is more genetically distinct from the rest of the UK than any other regions are from each other.


It’s important to remember that these groups have much ancestry in common, and are in no way pure representations of historical peoples. In fact, those historical peoples themselves cannot be truly defined. However, similarities between modern populations in the UK and continental Europe can suggest where past migrations came from. To this end, DNA was collected from ten other European countries, and these too were divided based on their genetic diversity. These European groups were then compared to the British ones.


It wasn’t all Vikings


‘Viking’ times. mararie, CC BY


When compared to the various continental groups, 25% of DNA from Orkney appears to have come from the groups found in Norway.


This supports the long-held belief that Norse Vikings settled Orkney, but also shows that the majority of Orcadian ancestry predates this settlement.


However, Orkney was not the only area of the country to have been conquered by Vikings. The Danelaw was a large area of northern and eastern England, ruled over by Danish Vikings. Interestingly, the study found no genetic signature of this, suggesting that the Danelaw was overwhelmingly inhabited by pre-existing English people, and ruled over by a very small number of Danes.


Neolithic Skara Brae on Orkney. The DNA of these pre-Viking people still accounts for much of today’s Orcadian DNA. John Lord, CC BY


Scottish, English and Welsh


After Orkney, the second split separated Wales from the rest of the UK; the third, north from south Wales; the fourth, the far-north of England, Scotland, and Northern Ireland collectively from the rest of England; and the fifth, Cornwall from most of England. This shows that the “Celtic” groups are all genetically distinct from “Anglo-Saxon” England, but also from each other, and, for example, the Scottish and English are more similar to each other than either is to the Welsh.


Scottish and English more similar to each other than to the Welsh. khrawlings, CC BY


However the “Celtic” groups all had large contributions of ancestry from the same three continental groups (centred on France, Belgium and Germany), suggesting some common, but very ancient ancestry from Pre-Saxon peoples. Indeed, these three groups also contribute significant ancestry across the UK, suggesting that these pre-Saxon people were widespread, and nowhere were they completely replaced.


Another very notable feature is that, even after the population was split into 50 groups, almost half the samples remain in one large group, covering most of central, southern and eastern England. As this region has little in the way of geographical or political barriers, it appears that freedom of movement over the centuries has homogenised the genetics of its people. The people of this region have much ancestry from pre-Saxon groups, but also 10-40% from continental groups who barely contributed to the Welsh gene-pool at all. It seems altogether very likely that these were the Anglo-Saxons.


Outside the history books


The study also found evidence of migrations not found in history books. These include contributions from France, Spain and Scandinavia, after the peopling of Britain, but probably before the Saxon invasions, and even a later one from France into Wales which didn’t seem to go through England.


So by drawing such conclusions from high-resolution data, the PoBI project uncovers the movements of ordinary people, rather than the ruling classes emphasised by traditional approaches. They also provide a proof-of-principle for similar work around the world, and some applications for modern healthcare geneticists. Michael Dunn, Head of Genetics and Molecular Sciences at the Wellcome Trust, said:



These researchers have been able to use modern genetic techniques to provide answers to the centuries old question – where we come from. Beyond the fascinating insights into our history, this information could prove very useful from a health perspective, as building a picture of population genetics at this scale may in future help us to design better genetic studies to investigate disease.



The Conversation

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

Life beyond Earth? There may be thousands more exoplanets in our galaxy

Kepler-186f, the first validated Earth-size planet to orbit a distant star in the habitable zone. NASA/EPA

The number of confirmed planets orbiting stars other than the Sun in our galaxy is rapidly growing. The unusual configurations and locations of these so-called “exoplanets” amaze and challenge our understanding of the universe. However the big motivation is to locate exoplanets that could potentially sustain life.


The habitable zone, or “Goldilocks zone”, around a star is the area within an orbital range of distance that allows for the right temperature to support liquid water – something we consider crucial for life as we know it. Now a joint team from the Australian National University and Niels Bohr Institute in Copenhagen suggest that we may have an even better chance of company than we previously thought. In research published in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, calculations suggest that the billions of stars in our galaxy may have between one and three exoplanets in their habitable zones.


It’s an exciting find. Looking at our own Solar System of eight planets we know the odds of life are low and that life in the galaxy may be rather lonely. We have Venus, Earth and Mars in or near the habitable zone around the Sun. But only the Earth was able to maintain its water. In the case of Mars the thin atmosphere allowed the planet to cool so the once flowing water is now locked up in perma-frost. In Venus’ case the water remains as vapour due to the extremely high surface temperature resulting from the thick carbon dioxide atmosphere. There has also been the suggestion in recent years that tectonic activity and a tilted axis of rotation axis results in seasons that are needed for life to evolve.


Life sustaining? T. Pyle, CC BY


An 18th-century law


The team base their new calculations on the assumption that the large number of already confirmed exoplanets in apparent isolation are actually part of larger planetary systems. This is a strong possibility given that high mass and short orbital periods mean exoplanets are much easier to detect than other types of planet. They then theorise the presence of these other exoplanets using the Titus-Bode law, famous for correctly calculating the position of the planet Uranus.


The Titus-Bode Law was formulated around 1770 and states the ratio between the orbital periods of planets in a star system. For example, the ratio between the time for Mercury and Venus to travel around the Sun equals the ratio in time between Venus and Earth. Any gaps in the sequence may suggest an as yet undetected planet in the system.


The researchers applied this law to 151 planetary systems in which the Kepler satellite (a dedicated transiting exoplanet survey mission) has found between three and six exoplanets. They found the law fit easily with the known exoplanets in 124 of the systems, which allowed the prediction of further exoplanets. In the remaining 27 systems the law could be applied if as-yet-undetected exoplanets were assumed to exist both in-between and beyond those already detected.


Conservative calculations


Of course this technique has the potential to predict exoplanets in ever longer orbital periods. So the group took a conservative path and “only made calculations for planets where there is a good chance that you can see them with the Kepler satellite,” according to Steffen Kjær Jacobsen, from the astrophysics and planetary science research group at the Niels Bohr Institute at the University of Copenhagen. This led to the prediction of between one and three exoplanets in the habitable zone for each of the 151 planetary systems studied.


Based on their statistics, Jacobsen then suggests that “a good share of the planets in the habitable zone will be solid planets where there might be liquid water and where life could exist”.


The team are now encouraging other researchers to follow up on a sub-set of 77 predicted exoplanets in 40 planetary systems within the Kepler data in order to test their theory. This subset of predicted exoplanets was chosen on the basis of their likelihood of transiting across the face of their host star from the perspective of an Earth-based observer.


Of course it is understood by the scientific community that life can exist in many forms and need not even be carbon based, as we are. But we have confirmation that carbon-based life forms which rely on water can exist – or your wouldn’t be reading this article. So the search begins with an attempt to find a second example of what we know exists before exploring other options.


The Conversation

Dawn breaks over distant Ceres ... and perhaps signs of habitability

NASA’s Dawn spacecraft is about to start its investigation of the largest member of the asteroid belt, 1 Ceres. It will take detailed images of the dwarf planet, and produce a geological map of its entire surface. But even before the spacecraft has reached its optimum orbit, the preliminary results just released are already surprising and delighting planetary scientists.


Up until February 2015, the best images taken of Ceres were from the Hubble space telescope, showing a near-spherical body with one area that was much brighter than the rest of the surface. As Dawn approached Ceres, its camera acquired some remarkable images, at about three times the resolution of those from Hubble. The pictures verified that there was indeed a brighter region.


Exploded map of Ceres showing ‘bright spot’. NASA


Even better, close examination of the images showed that the area varied in brightness over the course of Ceres’ day (which is only about nine hours long), growing dimmer as the dwarf planet moved into darkness. It is interpretation of this variability that has planetary scientists buzzing.


As if that were not enough, a further series of pictures appear to show a plume emanating from the surface. Is Ceres active? Does it have a layer of water or ice below a thin crust of rock? Could it be a ball of mud, overlain by a muddy ocean, on top of which is another thin muddy crust? The exact structure of Ceres is not yet known, although it is clear that it’s not rocky all the way through – its density is too low, so there must be at least some water or ice present. Suggestions at the 46th Lunar and Planetary Science Conference in Houston, Texas, of icy volcanism on Ceres have led to speculation that the dwarf planet could potentially be habitable. Although Ceres does not have an atmosphere, life might exist in a subsurface ocean, as has been suggested for Europa or Enceladus, moons orbiting Jupiter and Saturn respectively.


Is Ceres more slush than solid inside? NASA


Cryovolcanism – the presence of ice volcanoes – is not the only mechanism that can produce a plume of dust and ice from a planetary surface. The Rosetta mission has delivered amazing images of plumes coming from comet P/67 Churyumov-Gerasimenko, caused by sublimation of ice that releases dust and gas trapped inside the ice. Could the bright spot be an icy plume caused by the vaporisation of Ceres’ surface as it turns towards the sun’s heat, and then dropping away as night falls? Corridor talk at the conference speculates that Ceres might be closer to a comet than the asteroid it is usually regarded as.


Fortunately, we won’t have to wait much longer before we get some more definitive answers to questions of Ceres’ physical structure and heritage. By the beginning of April, the Dawn spacecraft will be much closer and will start its imaging campaign in earnest, at which point we will start seeing craters and other surface features at better resolution.


This is not the Ceres you are looking for. Borghese Collection, Louvre, CC BY-SA


In preparation for descriptions of such features, and bearing in mind that Ceres was the Roman goddess of the harvest, the International Astronomical Union has ruled that craters on Ceres should be named after international deities of agriculture and vegetation, while other features will be named after agricultural festivals of the world.


I’m not sure just how many of these there are, or how memorable their names will turn out to be. But as the Dawn mission’s principal investigator Chris Russell pointed out, there is one Mayan deity named Yum (Yum Kaax, god of agriculture and the jungle), who should readily be remembered. One can only hope the mission scientists find a suitably delicious feature on Ceres to give that name.


The Conversation

Sneaky Techies Are Playing Dress Up To Swipe Secret Legal Files

Imagine a bustling law firm in the heart of a skyscraper-filled city. The air is thick with the scent of expensive espresso and the frantic...